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National Strategy on Flood and Drought Forecasting Act

An Act to establish a national strategy respecting flood and drought forecasting

Summary

  • Requires the Minister of the Environment, working with Agriculture, Infrastructure, Natural Resources, and Public Safety, to develop a national strategy for flood and drought forecasting.
  • Mandates consultations with provinces, municipalities, Indigenous governing bodies, universities, civil society, and industry, including insurers.
  • The strategy must assess needs for national coordination, investment, novel technologies, property/infrastructure risk modelling, and opportunities for short- and long-term forecasting and floodplain delineation.
  • Directs preparation of a proposal for a cooperative national hydrology and water-resources forecasting service based on the federal–provincial National Hydrological Service model.
  • Requires tabling the strategy within two years and a public effectiveness report within five years, with both reports published online.

Builder Assessment

Vote Yes

This bill strengthens Canada’s resilience to floods and droughts by coordinating advanced forecasting, which supports productivity, investment, and public safety. Its impact depends on execution speed and lean governance, as the bill mandates a strategy rather than delivery.

  • Aligns with prosperity, productivity, and investment by reducing disaster losses, stabilizing agriculture and infrastructure planning, and leveraging Canadian modelling expertise.
  • Benefits safety and security through earlier warnings and clearer risk mapping for communities and critical infrastructure.
  • Risks: long two-year timeline, unclear funding and governance, potential duplication with provinces, and limited accountability metrics.
  • Builders should push for: a 12-month deadline with interim milestones; open, interoperable data standards and APIs; clear outcome targets (e.g., forecast lead-time gains, loss-reduction KPIs); a lean, distributed governance model respecting provincial roles; a defined budget with ROI; robust cybersecurity and data privacy; and practical, user-facing tools for farmers, municipalities, and insurers.
  • Encourage commercialization pathways so Canadian forecasting tech can scale domestically and abroad without adding red tape.

Question Period Cards

Given escalating flood and drought losses, why is the government allowing up to two years just to table a strategy, and will the minister commit to a 12-month deadline with public quarterly milestones?

What is the projected budget and timeline to stand up the proposed national hydrological forecasting service, and what measurable outcomes—like forecast lead-time improvements and reduced disaster costs—will be achieved by when?

How will the strategy avoid duplicating provincial systems and instead deliver interoperable, open data and APIs that provinces, Indigenous governments, farmers, and insurers can use in real time while protecting privacy and cybersecurity?

Principles Analysis

Canada should aim to be the world's most prosperous country.

Stronger flood and drought forecasting can reduce disaster losses, protect agriculture and infrastructure, and improve economic resilience—supporting long-run prosperity.

Promote economic freedom, ambition, and breaking from bureaucratic inertia (reduce red tape).

National coordination and modern tools could break silos, but the bill only mandates a strategy with a two-year runway and no regulatory simplification, risking delay.

Drive national productivity and global competitiveness.

Better hazard intelligence reduces downtime and supply-chain disruptions for farms and firms and leverages Canadian forecasting expertise, bolstering competitiveness.

Grow exports of Canadian products and resources.

Any boost to exports would be indirect (e.g., exporting forecasting tools); the bill contains no explicit export measures.

Encourage investment, innovation, and resource development.

Improved risk visibility de-risks capital allocation in agriculture, energy, and infrastructure and encourages adoption of novel forecasting technologies.

Deliver better public services at lower cost (government efficiency).

A unified service could reduce duplication and deliver economies of scale, but governance, costs, and accountability are undefined and could add a layer if not executed lean.

Reform taxes to incentivize work, risk-taking, and innovation.

No tax provisions are affected.

Focus on large-scale prosperity, not incrementalism.

The envisioned national service is potentially transformative, but the bill stops at a strategy and has a long timeline, muting immediate, large-scale impact.

Did we get the builder vote wrong?

Email [email protected]

PartyLiberal
StatusOutside the Order of Precedence
Last updatedSep 22, 2025
TopicsClimate and Environment
Parliament45